M2 Trends and Macro Signals Align: A Reversal is in Sight!

business thoc
Aug 6
3 min read

Week 31 Year 2025 Highlights – Catch Up on Everything You Missed!

Welcome to the weekly recap, the House of Crypto Week 31 Year 25 edition, your go-to place for staying in touch with the House of Crypto lines of services, every week.

Key Highlights:

YouTube Channel | Why the Reversal May Already Be Underway
The Moon House | Macro Signals Still Favor the Big Picture
The Inner Circle | Hang out with sharp minds
WEEX | Get Up to $4,000 in ETH Positions + Futures Bonus

House of Crypto YouTube Channel:

July 31st Video: https://youtu.be/8jd9CrUj1T8?si=QQa0H8T9yay-IqNW

Peter explains how M2 money supply remains a highly accurate leading indicator for Bitcoin and altcoins, forecasting a strong upside move through August and a potential blow-off top by late September. He warns of a possible pause in the bull market if M2 declines, tied to dollar strength and lack of U.S. rate cuts, but expects a continuation if global money printing persists. He highlights the Bitcoin vs Gold chart as a signal of growing institutional risk appetite, suggesting altcoins will thrive in this phase, especially as Ethereum continues to outperform Bitcoin.

August 2nd Video: https://youtu.be/9XRUrEcuEg8?si=I5Xe_pI13AjLmWgj

Peter says despite a sharp altcoin drop of 15–30%, history and M2 money supply trends show the bottom is likely set. Fear-driven news like tariffs, war threats, or economic worries usually come before strong crypto rallies. These events align with key M2 points after about 12 weeks, suggesting manipulation to shake out weak holders and cool markets before a rise. With longs liquidated and shorts increasing, a reversal is likely. Peter notes smart money uses fear events to buy before surges and these moves often come before official news. Despite recent drops, many altcoins are still up significantly over the month.

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Here’s what our experts have been sharing over the past week:

Others vs Bitcoin: Same Destination, Different Path

Peter explains that short-term price swings in smaller altcoins can be distracting, but the broader outlook remains unchanged. Macro conditions, sentiment, and charts all point to the same end result. Patience remains the key.

August’s Track Record vs the 4-Year Cycle

Bitcoin historically performs worst in August, averaging -7.49% returns. But every fourth year- 2013, 2017, 2021, August flips bullish, often sparking altcoin rallies. Our Moon House expert explains how this aligns with post-halving behavior and shifting investor appetite. If the pattern holds, August 2025 could kickstart the next alt season. The data doesn’t promise it, but it definitely signals a setup worth watching.

Sign up to get exclusive alpha before it goes live and join our weekly live calls for Q&A, now is the perfect time to subscribe: https://whop.com/the-moon-house

Here’s what our community’s hive mind has been discussing over the past week:

Wallet Safety Tips for Bull Markets

A member sought advice on moving assets off CoinSpot and whether to stake or shift to a hardware wallet. Motamus responded with clear, practical guidance-recommending Ledger for cold storage and stressing the timeless rule: not your keys, not your crypto. With real-time insights like this, the Inner Circle serves as a crucial support system for navigating the complexities of a fast-moving market.

Patience in Quiet Periods

$PUFFER is getting positive attention for its strong fundamentals and healthy pullback. Meanwhile, members are reflecting on missed trades, as Peter provides another reminder that staying in the market through quiet periods often pays off. Limit emotional reactions and avoid over-monitoring your portfolio.

Join The Inner Circle (https://whop.com/the-house-of-crypto/) for only $19.9 a month to stay up to date with market movements, like-minded members’ discussions and unique deals that we offer on our platform.

WEEX | Get Up to $4,000 in ETH Positions + Futures Bonus for Depositing and Trading

House of Crypto and WEEX are back with a limited-time welcome bonus event that gives new users an instant edge. From now until August 11, receive a 100% ETH Position Airdrop and a futures trading bonus when you deposit and trade on WEEX.

Event Details:

Duration: August 2, 2025 - August 11, 2025
Eligibility: New users who sign up via House of Crypto and complete tasks
How to Participate:
- Download the WEEX app
- Deposit to your futures account
- Complete the trading task to claim rewards