Checkout The Signal That Matters More Than Price Right Now

business thoc
4 days ago
3 min read

Updated: 3 days ago

Week 4 Year 2026 Highlights – Catch Up on Everything You Missed!

Most people are watching prices. Smart money is watching risk.

Here is everything you may have missed across the House of Crypto ecosystem this past week.

Key Highlights:

YouTube Channel | Peter’s Key Risk Signal Says Stay Calm!
The Moon House | Bitcoin’s Structural Floor: Understanding Production Cost
The Inner Circle | Hang out with sharp minds
School of Crypto | How ETH Shorts Are Framed

House of Crypto YouTube Channel:

January 26th Video: https://youtu.be/IvnUqNvaawg?si=i8FQPIMwL9GHJGmL

In this video, Peter breaks down why current fear in the market does not match what institutional risk indicators are showing. The key signal he tracks, high yield bonds versus government bonds, remains firmly risk on. That tells us institutions are not positioning for recession.

Bitcoin is also holding close to mining production cost, liquidity is improving, and capital is rotating back toward risk assets. Historically, this combination aligns more with accumulation phases than the start of a long bear market. This is exactly the kind of context most traders miss when they only focus on candles.

Get notifications of streams by signing up to The House Of Crypto’s YouTube channel as well as The School of Crypto’s YouTube Channel. Turn on the notification bell to make sure you don’t miss out on any early discoveries on the next trend!

Here’s what our experts have been sharing over the past week:

Bitcoin Production Cost as a Structural Floor

Peter shared why Bitcoin’s production cost matters more than most support lines people draw on charts. Miners represent real economic pressure. The average cost to produce one Bitcoin acts as a structural zone where price rarely stays below for long. When price does dip under this level, history shows it tends to be short lived.

For anyone investing long term, this gives a framework, not just an opinion.

HYPE Rallies as Real World Commodities Move On Chain

This week also highlighted an important shift in behavior. Silver futures trading on Hyperliquid surged, pushing daily volume above 1.25 billion dollars and open interest toward 155 million dollars. As activity grows, platform fees increase, and those fees feed directly into HYPE buybacks. The result is simply more usage creating more demand for the token. This marks real reflexivity, rather than mere speculation.

Sign up to get exclusive alpha before it goes live and join our weekly live calls for Q&A, now is the perfect time to subscribe: https://whop.com/the-moon-house

Here’s what our community’s hive mind has been discussing over the past week:

Strong Economy Favors Risk and Low Cap Rotation

Inside the Inner Circle community, That Macro Guy broke down why a strengthening US economy often leads capital to rotate further out on the risk curve. First large caps benefit. Then the small caps. And eventually, high risk assets like crypto attract disproportionate flows. Easing financial conditions and improving business cycles tend to support this transition. This is how broader macro conditions quietly build tailwinds long before headlines catch up.

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Trade With Clear Structure in The School of Crypto

An ETH short was shared live inside the Trading with SOC group as price tapped a defined resistance zone with downside liquidity clearly visible on the heatmap.

The setup targeted a liquidity sweep below current price before any directional continuation, with tight risk control, moderate leverage, and predefined invalidation.

This is the framework taught inside SOC: