The Cycle Is Nowhere Near Finished!

business thoc
5 days ago
4 min read

Week 46 Year 2025 Highlights – Catch Up on Everything You Missed!

Key Highlights:

YouTube Channel | Sentiment Collapse Signals the Bull Market Is Far from Finished
The Moon House | Why the Macro Story Still Favors a Bigger Crypto Run
Pionex Beta | The Mechanics Behind Grid Bot Decisions
WEEX | Join the Free WEEX x SOC Trading Group for Exclusive Signals

House of Crypto YouTube Channel:

November 17th Video: https://youtu.be/mZ-r9QVVZzI?si=VLiRr_RvJkCCpyBd

Peter explains that the fear driven selloff is a bear trap created by panic, misinformation, and a cluster of lagging indicators like death crosses that historically precede major reversals rather than market tops. He shows that sentiment has collapsed into anger and depression rather than euphoria which signals the cycle is not finished and aligns with the disbelief phase on the Wall Street cheat sheet. He argues that the four year cycle is shifting into a five year cycle because US debt refinancing was delayed by high interest rates and that upcoming rate cuts, falling inflation, and renewed liquidity will push the ISM higher and extend the bull market into 2026.

November 12th Video: https://youtu.be/1U-KDj1y2xI?si=C_ef9iNXALRGEJQu

Peter explains that very soon, the altcoins will begin to outperform because liquidity is returning to the system following the end of the US government shutdown and the expected shift from quantitative tightening to easing. He shows how stablecoin inflows, rising DEX fees, and strong revenues from platforms like Hyperliquid, Aerodrome, and Uniswap signal renewed expansion. He breaks down why projects with large treasuries and real revenue will lead the next wave and demonstrates how to use DeFiLlama to identify strong ecosystems, growing TVL, and early momentum for coins that are likely to outperform in the weeks ahead.

Get notifications of streams by signing up to The House Of Crypto’s YouTube channel as well as The School of Crypto’s YouTube Channel. Turn on the notification bell to make sure you don’t miss out on any early discoveries on the next trend!

Here’s what our experts have been sharing over the past week:

Key Macro and Crypto Events This Week

A packed macro week with Fed meeting minutes, NVIDIA earnings, the September jobs report, Michigan inflation expectations, and a long list of Fed speakers likely to influence market tone. On the crypto side, Devconnect begins, Hyperliquid rumors circulate, and the Monad ICO goes live on Coinbase. Filecoin and Avalanche prepare major announcements, while Maple Finance holds its Q4 call.

Bullish Framework and When a Bear Case Makes Sense

Peter – founder of the House of Crypto – explains that crypto performance follows global liquidity, and with the government reopened, weak job data, and low inflation, conditions support future rate cuts and eventual QE. He says recent charts look manipulated to shake out weak hands while liquidity builds. Turning bearish would require believing the macro to crypto relationship has broken, which he sees as unlikely.

Sign up to get exclusive alpha before it goes live and join our weekly live calls for Q&A, now is the perfect time to subscribe: https://whop.com/the-moon-house

See what went on in the bot trading community this past week:

Bot Management Advice During Drawdowns

Del Boy explains that when a bot is in negative conditions the red numbers simply reflect temporary price movement and not a broken system. He outlines several ways to handle the situation, including adding margin to lower the liquidation price, adjusting grids and accepting the loss, or waiting patiently for recovery.

Members Provide Useful Clarity on Bot Management

Member Sab demonstrates the value of the group by offering a clear breakdown of how grid bots handle price ranges and why a bot stops taking new actions once price moves out of range. He explains that adjusting the range is effectively creating a new bot since unrealised positions are closed before new parameters take over.

Join the Pionex Beta group (https://THOC.short.gy/Pionex) to learn more about auto trading bots and explore the best strategies and optimal settings for using Pionex bots.

Join the Free WEEX x SOC Trading Group for Exclusive Signals

Our trading group continues to deliver strong value. WEEX's experienced trader, Danny, recently shared a BTC signal that hit all of its targets, locking in impressive gains. Join our group for free to access exclusive trading signals and beginner-friendly crypto education.

Simply click the link to join: https://THOC.short.gy/TradingGroup

Always remember that trading carries risk. Manage your position sizes and only trade what you can afford to lose.

Moonvember Quiz Airdrop 🌕

Thank you for subscribing to our newsletter and joining us for some fun quizzes. Click the link below for Round 1, all answers are inside the newsletter — read, play, and win!

https://THOC.short.gy/Moonvember

Stay tuned — see you next week!