Peter’s Guide: How to Read the Signals Before the Next Downturn

business thoc
Sep 17
3 min read

Week 37 Year 2025 Highlights – Catch Up on Everything You Missed!

Key Highlights:

YouTube Channel | How to Spot The Market Top & Secure Profits
The Moon House | Fed Strikes Balance Between Inflation and Jobs
The Inner Circle | Hang out with sharp minds
WEEX | Join the Free Trading Group

House of Crypto YouTube Channel:

September 15th Video: https://youtu.be/OceummK8jEI?si=7pR666akU2LCUyzU

Peter lays out a crypto exit plan for the bull market, warning against addiction to gains and stressing the need for clear financial goals. He highlights key top signals like high funding rates, surging YouTube views, extreme fear and greed readings, and mainstream hype, urging investors to secure profits before a global recession hits.

September 12th Video: https://youtu.be/BN0I3D4z19k?si=UScTvhanr9EBZlGU

Peter says altcoins are awakening as the Others and Total3 charts near bullish breakouts, with ETH/SOL strength and drifting BTC dominance pointing to the next leg of altseason. He expects volatility around next week’s FOMC but plans to hold through it, adding that gold-vs-crypto cycles suggest the bull market could extend into early 2026.

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Here’s what our experts have been sharing over the past week:

Fed Delivers Cautiously Dovish Cut

Our Moon House expert breaks down Powell’s remarks after the Fed rate cut, noting the decision centers on labor market risks rather than inflation alone. The Fed signals more cuts could come in 2025, but emphasizes flexibility and data dependence. Inflation remains elevated, yet slowing job growth and rising unemployment tilt policy slightly dovish. The key takeaway is that cuts are anticipated but not guaranteed, as the Fed balances easing against the risk of sticky inflation.

On-Chain Signals Ahead of Fed Decision

Bitcoin inflows fall to 25K BTC, the lowest in over a year, with average deposit size halving since July, showing reduced selling from larger holders. At the same time, USDT deposits are rising, building investor dry powder, while altcoin inflows pick up, hinting at profit-taking or rotation away from smaller assets.

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Here’s what our community’s hive mind has been discussing over the past week:

Exit Targets and Profit-Taking Strategies

Members discuss setting structured exit targets to avoid emotional decisions during news-driven volatility. Examples include scaling out at multiples like 2x, 4x, and 5x, or waiting for a 3x to secure initial capital. The conversation highlights that having any exit plan is better than none, as it helps keep traders disciplined.

Inflation as a Tool to Manage Debt

That Macro Guy shares a clip explaining how governments rely on inflation to reduce the burden of trillions in debt by devaluing it against real assets. The takeaway is that long-term investors must stay positioned in assets like Bitcoin, stocks, and commodities to protect against debt-driven devaluation.

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